Canadiens @ Lightning – Game 5 – July 7

*Betting predictions based exclusively on playoff statistics/ limited data set*

This Stanley Cup Final game pits the Canadiens versus the Lightning. The Bolts will get their second opportunity to close out the series and win the cup while the Habs will try to push for a game 6 at home.
MTLBETTING
TBL
29.8%Money Line70.2%
3.36
+214
ML Odds to look for
(higher than these)
1.42
-262
MTL (+1.5)
59.5%
Puck LineTBL (-1.5)
40.5%
1.68
-161
PL Odds to look for
(higher than these)
2.47
+135
1.93Goals Predicted
Total = 4.82
2.89
UNDERVALUEOVER
64.2%5.5 Goals35.8%
1.565.5 Odds to look for2.79
74.7%6.5 Goals25.3%
1.346.5 Odds to look for3.96

MTLRECORDS &
STREAKS
TBL
1 – 3Series3 – 1
13 – 7 – 1 ()Playoff Record (NHL Rank)15 – 3 – 4 ()
() ()
OTW – L – L – L – OTWLast 5 results (most recent first)OTL – W – W – W – W
1WPlayoff Streak1L
7 – 4 – 0Away record8 – 1 – 2
1Days of rest1
10 – 4 – 1Record with rest11 – 2 – 3
 
MTLOFFENCE
Teams are pretty even
TBL
2.43 (12)Goals for3.36 (2)
2.34 (12)Expected Goals2.72 (8)
 
56.7 (15)Shot attempts59.2 (12)
29.4 (13)Shots on net29.5 (12)
10.9 (14)Slot shots13.3 (9)
 
MTLDEFENCE
Teams are pretty even
TBL
2.52 (4)Goals against2.05 (2)
2.53 (8)xG against2.26 (3)
 
61.2 (6)Shot attempts against64.4 (8)
31.0 (7)Shots on net against29.0 (3)
12.2 (6)Slot shots against12.4 (7)
 
MTLSPECIAL TEAMS
Teams are pretty even
TBL
3.0 (7)Penalties taken3.5 (11)
91.4% (1)PK %83.3% (4)
2.3 (12)Penalties drawn3.7 (4)
20.0% (8)PP %33.9% (3)
 
MTLPROJECTED GOALIES
Teams are pretty even
TBL
Carey Pricerankings out of 23 qualified goaliesAndrei Vasilevskiy
21Games22
2.34 (7)Goals Against Avg.1.99 (2)
0.01 (6)Goals Saved Above Exp.0.19 (4)
.923 (11)Save %.931 (4)
.871 (2)Slot save %.889 (1)
.833 (5)Inner slot save %.821 (8)

GAME LOG
DateVisiting TeamScoreHome TeamScore
6/28/2021 MTL1 TBL5
6/30/2021 MTL1 TBL3
7/2/2021 TBL6 MTL3
7/5/2021 TBL2 MTL3

Want to learn more about some of the metrics in our Game Previews or Power Plays? Check out the Hockey Analytics 101 videos, brought to you by our friends at The Point Hockey, to understand why these stats matter.

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