Lightning @ Canadiens – Game 4 – July 5

*Betting predictions based exclusively on playoff statistics/ limited data set*

This Stanley Cup Final tilt pits the Lightning against the Canadiens. Tampa Bay gets an opportunity to close out the series on the road and win their second cup in as many years.
TBLBETTING
MTL
70.9%Money Line29.1%
1.41
-271
ML Odds to look for
(higher than these)
3.44
+220
TBL (-1.5)
41.1%
Puck LineMTL (+1.5)
58.9%
2.43
+131
PL Odds to look for
(higher than these)
1.70
-157
2.90Goals Predicted
Total = 4.81
1.91
UNDERVALUEOVER
64.3%5.5 Goals35.7%
1.565.5 Odds to look for2.80
74.9%6.5 Goals25.1%
1.346.5 Odds to look for3.98

TBLRECORDS &
STREAKS
MTL
3 – 0Series0 – 3
15 – 3 – 3 ()Playoff Record (NHL Rank)12 – 7 – 1 ()
() ()
W – W – W – W – OTLLast 5 results (most recent first)L – L – L – OTW – W
4W, 5 out of 6Playoff Streak3L
7 – 2 – 1Away record5 – 3 – 1
2Days of rest2
3 – 0 – 0Record with rest1 – 0 – 0
 
TBLOFFENCE
Teams are pretty even
MTL
3.43 (2)Goals for2.40 (12)
2.71 (8)Expected Goals2.36 (12)
 
58.5 (13)Shot attempts57.2 (15)
29.2 (14)Shots on net29.9 (11)
13.3 (9)Slot shots11.2 (14)
 
TBLDEFENCE
Teams are pretty even
MTL
2.00 (1)Goals against2.55 (4)
2.28 (4)xG against2.51 (7)
 
65.3 (9)Shot attempts against60.7 (5)
29.5 (3)Shots on net against30.8 (7)
12.8 (7)Slot shots against12.2 (6)
 
TBLSPECIAL TEAMS
Teams are pretty even
MTL
3.6 (11)Penalties taken2.8 (7)
83.1% (4)PK %90.6% (1)
3.6 (5)Penalties drawn2.3 (14)
36.7% (2)PP %20.4% (7)
 
TBLPROJECTED GOALIES
Teams are pretty even
MTL
Andrei Vasilevskiyrankings out of 23 qualified goaliesCarey Price
21Games20
1.94 (2)Goals Against Avg.2.36 (8)
0.25 (3)Goals Saved Above Exp.-0.04 (8)
.934 (2)Save %.922 (11)
.895 (1)Slot save %.872 (2)
.832 (6)Inner slot save %.841 (5)

GAME LOG
DateVisiting TeamScoreHome TeamScore
6/28/2021 MTL1 TBL5
6/30/2021 MTL1 TBL3
7/2/2021 TBL6 MTL3

Want to learn more about some of the metrics in our Game Previews or Power Plays? Check out the Hockey Analytics 101 videos, brought to you by our friends at The Point Hockey, to understand why these stats matter.

Follow us @LogiqBets for the latest betting and fantasy news.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Related Posts