Lightning @ Canadiens – Game 3 – July 2

*Betting predictions based exclusively on playoff statistics/ limited data set*

Tonight’s Stanley Cup Final game matches the Lightning versus the Canadiens. The Bolts have an opportunity to go up 3-0 in the series while the Habs continue to desperately search for ways to solve Andrei Vasilevskiy and Tampa’s defence.
TBLBETTING
MTL
69.2%Money Line30.8%
1.45
-248
ML Odds to look for
(higher than these)
3.24
+203
TBL (-1.5)
38.4%
Puck LineMTL (+1.5)
61.6%
2.60
+146
PL Odds to look for
(higher than these)
1.62
-175
2.68Goals Predicted
Total = 4.49
1.81
UNDERVALUEOVER
69.9%5.5 Goals30.1%
1.435.5 Odds to look for3.32
79.5%6.5 Goals20.5%
1.266.5 Odds to look for4.87

TBLRECORDS &
STREAKS
MTL
2 – 0Series0 – 2
14 – 3 – 3 ()Playoff Record (NHL Rank)12 – 6 – 1 ()
() ()
W – W – W – OTL – WLast 5 results (most recent first)L – L – OTW – W – OTL
3W, 4 out of 5Playoff Streak2L
6 – 2 – 1Away record5 – 2 – 1
1Days of rest1
10 – 2 – 3Record with rest10 – 3 – 1
 
TBLOFFENCE
Teams are pretty even
MTL
3.30 (2)Goals for2.37 (12)
2.68 (8)Expected Goals2.41 (12)
 
58.8 (13)Shot attempts56.9 (15)
29.2 (14)Shots on net29.8 (12)
13.4 (9)Slot shots11.3 (14)
 
TBLDEFENCE
Teams are pretty even
MTL
1.95 (1)Goals against2.37 (3)
2.32 (4)xG against2.47 (6)
 
65.4 (9)Shot attempts against61.1 (6)
29.4 (3)Shots on net against30.8 (7)
13.0 (7)Slot shots against12.2 (6)
 
TBLSPECIAL TEAMS
Teams are pretty even
MTL
3.7 (11)Penalties taken2.9 (7)
82.8% (4)PK %92.3% (1)
3.8 (4)Penalties drawn2.4 (12)
35.6% (3)PP %20.8% (7)
 
TBLPROJECTED GOALIES
Teams are pretty even
MTL
Andrei Vasilevskiyrankings out of 23 qualified goaliesCarey Price
20Games19
1.89 (2)Goals Against Avg.2.22 (6)
0.34 (3)Goals Saved Above Exp.0.10 (6)
.935 (2)Save %.926 (7)
.895 (1)Slot save %.879 (2)
.831 (7)Inner slot save %.861 (3)

GAME LOG
DateVisiting TeamScoreHome TeamScore
6/28/2021 MTL1 TBL5
6/30/2021 MTL1 TBL3

Want to learn more about some of the metrics in our Game Previews or Power Plays? Check out the Hockey Analytics 101 videos, brought to you by our friends at The Point Hockey, to understand why these stats matter.

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