Canadiens @ Lightning – Game 1 – June 28

*Betting predictions based exclusively on playoff statistics/ limited data set*

Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals matches the Canadiens against the Lightning. The Bolts are on the hunt for their second cup in as many years while the Habs will try to win their first since 1993.
MTLBETTING
TBL
43.5%Money Line56.5%
2.30
+119
ML Odds to look for
(higher than these)
1.77
-142
MTL (+1.5)
71.0%
Puck LineTBL (-1.5)
29.0%
1.41
-273
PL Odds to look for
(higher than these)
3.45
+222
2.20Goals Predicted
Total = 4.70
2.50
UNDERVALUEOVER
66.1%5.5 Goals33.9%
1.515.5 Odds to look for2.95
75.8%6.5 Goals24.2%
1.326.5 Odds to look for4.14

MTLRECORDS &
STREAKS
TBL
0 – 0Series0 – 0
12 – 4 – 1 ()Playoff Record (NHL Rank)12 – 3 – 3 ()
() ()
OTW – W – OTL – OTW – WLast 5 results (most recent first)W – OTL – W – L – W
2W, 4 out of 5Playoff Streak1W, 2 out of 3
7 – 2 – 0Away record6 – 1 – 2
3Days of rest2
n/aRecord with rest2 – 0 – 0
 
MTLOFFENCE
Teams are pretty even
TBL
2.53 (11)Goals for3.22 (2)
2.52 (11)Expected Goals2.74 (8)
 
56.0 (15)Shot attempts59.6 (12)
30.0 (11)Shots on net29.7 (13)
11.4 (14)Slot shots13.7 (9)
 
MTLDEFENCE
Teams are pretty even
TBL
2.18 (3)Goals against2.06 (2)
2.51 (7)xG against2.41 (5)
 
62.1 (6)Shot attempts against65.5 (9)
31.5 (8)Shots on net against29.6 (3)
12.4 (6)Slot shots against13.2 (7)
 
MTLSPECIAL TEAMS
Teams are pretty even
TBL
2.8 (7)Penalties taken3.8 (11)
93.5% (1)PK %83.0% (4)
2.3 (14)Penalties drawn3.7 (4)
20.9% (7)PP %37.7% (2)
 
MTLPROJECTED GOALIES
Teams are pretty even
TBL
Carey Pricerankings out of 23 qualified goaliesAndrei Vasilevskiy
17Games18
2.02 (3)Goals Against Avg.1.99 (2)
0.32 (3)Goals Saved Above Exp.0.32 (4)
.934 (2)Save %.932 (5)
.890 (1)Slot save %.889 (2)
.870 (3)Inner slot save %.824 (7)

GAME LOG
DateVisiting TeamScoreHome TeamScore
#N/A

Want to learn more about some of the metrics in our Game Previews or Power Plays? Check out the Hockey Analytics 101 videos, brought to you by our friends at The Point Hockey, to understand why these stats matter.

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