Power Plays – May 4

LogiqBets’ Power Plays give you a deeper look into tonight’s most valuable plays. All selections are made by our team of Hockey experts and are backed with the most advanced data and betting models in the business.

Power Plays record: 41-36

Heavy Money Line favorites: EDM (71.4%) | BOS (65.4%) | NYI (66.1%)

Oilers @ Canucks – Oilers Money Line (1.52 | -192) + Under 6 Goals (2.00 | +100)

There’s no reason why we shouldn’t expect the Oilers to come out on top in this back-to-back with the Canucks. Edmonton is a 71.4% Money Line favorite, according to our model, and they’ve put on a clinic against Vancouver all season (6-3-0 record) so the value here merits at least a unit from our bankroll.

The Oilers have heavily out-chanced the Canucks in their season series with an Expected Goals For average of 3.82 per game while Vancouver can only muster up an Expected Goals For average of 2.45 per game. Collectively, this puts us over the 6 Goal line however, if Mike Smith and Thatcher Demko get the start tonight, we have full confidence in this play.

Demko has been decent this season. His numbers won’t turn heads but he does rank 5th in the league in Goals Saved Above Expected which tells us he should steal a goal or two from McDavid and Draisaitl tonight. Smith on the other hand is solid across the board. Among qualified NHL netminders, he ranks 7th in Save %, 9th in Slot Save %, and 7th in Inner Slot Save %. We can’t remember the last time the Oilers had this kind of consistency in goal so make sure to take advantage of it.

Check out the full game preview here

Penguins @ Flyers – Flyers Puck Line +1.5 (1.62 | -161)

It hasn’t even been 24 hours since the Flyers took the Pens to school and sportsbooks are giving us prime Puck Line value for the City of Brotherly Love. The Flyers have covered the +1.5 spread in 6 of their 7 meetings with the Pens this season.

If you’ve been following our Power Plays segment, you already know that we’ve given plenty of praise to Pittsburgh’s top-tier defence but Philly just seems to get the better of them most nights. Against all divisional opponents, Pittsburgh averages 2.79 Goals Against per game and 2.70 Expected Goals Against but against Philly, those numbers climb to 4.14 and 3.33 respectively.

Philly is also one of the better teams in the league at defending the cycle, a facet of the game where the Pens’ goal leaders, Bryan Rust and Jake Guentzel, get most of their scoring chances from.

Check out the full game preview here

Want to learn more about some of the metrics in our Game Previews or Power Plays? Check out the Hockey Analytics 101 videos, brought to you by our friends at The Point Hockey, to understand why these stats matter.

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